A two-day storm that at one point was forecast to deliver up to 10 inches of snow locally was further downgraded Saturday, with just 2 to 4 inches now expected.

And that will mostly come today and tonight, with little accumulation carrying into Monday, said Tony Mack, a National Weather Service meteorologist in State College.

Even so, just a few inches would put this year's snow total at more than a foot above the 30-year average for the region.

Moving south

Mack said new data received Saturday showed a cold front moving in from the Great Lakes will dip further south before it reacts with a low pressure system filled with moisture.

"With that, we can see the heaviest snow totals will come below the Mason-Dixon line," he said.

Now, Maryland is expecting 4 to 8 inches, he said.

37.4 and counting

Whatever snow falls today will add to one of the snowiest winter seasons in recent memory.

According to data on the NWS State College office's web page from the Penn Valley Airport in Selinsgrove, the region has received 37.4 inches so far this season - 20.1 of it in February.

Last year's season total was 23.6 inches, and the average annual snowfall from 1981 to 2010 was 28.6 inches.